Diego Schwartzman v Rafael Nadal QF Odds and Picks

by Matt Porter
September 3rd 2019, 8:17am

Two more Semi-Final matches from the US Open come to us on Wednesday in a hugely entertaining day of tennis for the crowd at Flushing Meadows.

We start with what should be a terrific contest between two baseliners as Diego Schwartman takes on Rafael Nadal, the match will get underway at about 8pm Eastern.


Diego Schwartzman has been in the form of his life over the last couple of weeks and arrives here having only dropped one set all tournament, he’s usually more at home on the clay but these courts have seemed to be absolutely perfect for him.

He was brilliant yet again last time out where he took apart young starlet Alexander Zverev despite losing the first set, after that he broke the serve of his opponent consistently and wrapped up the next three without even the need for a tie break.

Diego Schwartzmann wins at the US Open

Before that he had despatched Tennys Sandgren and Egor Gerasimov, he’s stepping up another level here and will need to produce his absolute best to stand a chance of reaching the last four.

Rafael Nadal has cruised through the draw and will have his eyes on another US Open title, last winning here in 2017 when he defeated Kevin Anderson.

He had a tough battle on Monday evening as he defeated Marin Cilic in four sets but that might do him a lot of good as he had been a bit too comfortable in the early rounds. Nadal was totally dominant by the end and was breaking the serve of the Croatian at will.

On his way here he has defeated John Millman, Hyeon Chung and was the beneficiary of a withdrawal when Thannis Kokkanakis was too injured to play. Until the match against Cilic he hadn’t dropped a set.

He would love another slam to take him closer to Roger Federer and with the French Open next year, he could feasibly take over the Swiss legend at Roland Garros if he can win here.

The Head to Head record between the two players is completely conclusive in favor of the Spaniard, Rafael Nadal leads it 7-0 and he has only lost two sets in all those matches combined. Although one thing that does look a little better for Schwartzman is that in two of the three matches in slams he has taken a set.

This will be a battle of baseliners and it will be the biggest test the Argentine has faced so far at this tournament, he doesn’t do much in his game better than his opponent and Nadal will be confident of victory.

Our Pick

Rafael Nadal to win the match 3-1 pays out at +250 with Fanduel.

We should expect a good match here but Rafael Nadal will surely have far too much talent and experience for his opponent.

The Argentine player has been absolutely fantastic all tournament but his H2H record against the Spaniard is terrible, we do think he can take a set though on his current form and we’ll take Nadal to win the match by a 3-1 scoreline at what looks a real value price.